We may have a mild winter in store

NOAA predicting mild winter in New England – Boston News, Weather, Sports

NOAA predicting mild winter in New England – Boston News, Weather, Sports

This is more of an overarching forecast of how the three winter months could average out.

"We expect El Niño to be in place in late fall to early winter", said Mike Halpert, deputy director of NOAA's Climate Prediction Center.

The only part of the country that can expect typical winter temperatures will likely be in the Southeast, spanning the states you see below that are colored white, from Florida to OH and as far west as Arkansas. "Although a weak El Nino is expected, it may still influence the winter season by bringing wetter conditions across the southern United States, and warmer, drier conditions to parts of the North".

"The country as a whole has been quite mild since 2014-2015", Halpert said.

"Up in ME the forecast is actually what we call "equal chances", which means there's no tilt in those odds, so it's just as likely to be a wetter-than-normal winter as a drier-than-normal winter", says Halpert.

PRECIPITATION: Halpert said the southern one-third of the United States and much of the East Coast could be facing a wetter-than-normal December and January.

"All things being equal, the slight kick we get out of the climate signal does tilt things toward the warm side", Halpert said. The chances are highest in southeastern Georgia and much of northern and central Florida.

NOAA predicting mild winter in New England – Boston News, Weather, Sports

Overall, however, the western half of the country experienced warmer-than-average temperatures while the eastern half received the colder air.

The middle belt of the nation, and some of the north from California to NY, can go any which way on precipitation.

The weather service's forecast doesn't look at snow likelihood.

The winter forecast hinges largely on the 75% chance that an El Niño event - characterized by warming waters in the eastern Pacific Ocean - develops in the coming months and lasts through the season, which for meteorologists begins December 1, according to NOAA.

El Nino tends to generate an active subtropical jet stream that would hike precipitation across the southern half of the country, including in Southern California, where beneficial rains could swiftly morph into threatening flooding and mudslides.

The organization's predictive maps placed ME in a sweeping band of orange, signifying that center forecasters believe the state is among those with a 40 percent to 50 percent chance of being "warmer than normal".

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